Jakarta – Lately, positive cases of COVID-19 in Indonesia have been decreasing, Mother. Even so, the government still anticipates a spike in cases at the end of the year during the Christmas and New Year holidays. Because of this, the government will implement a level 3 PPKM policy throughout Indonesia. This policy is of course applied throughout the holiday period because the holiday atmosphere this time is still in the COVID-19 pandemic situation. This decision was expressed directly by the Coordinating Minister for Human Development and Culture (Menko PMK), Muhadjir Effendy, some time ago, Bunda. “During the Nataru holiday, all of Indonesia will apply PPKM Level 3 rules and regulations,” he said. Muhadjir also said that the government had deliberately made this policy. Not without reason, this is aimed at preventing a spike in COVID-19 cases. Even so, an independent global health research institute from Washington University, United States, the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), has predicted that Indonesia will not be hit by the 3rd wave of COVID-19, Mother. According to their calculations, Corona cases in Indonesia will remain low from December 2021 to March 2022. This IHME project shows that the daily cases of COVID-19 in Indonesia as of December are in the range of 3,000 to 4,000 cases, Mother. For next January, the cases will decrease from one thousand to two thousand cases, and sloping down until March 2022 to 900 cases per day. Peak cases: 1.5 million people The IHME chart previously predicted the peak of COVID-19 cases in Indonesia to occur in July 2021. On record, it is predicted that there are more than 1.5 million people who are positive for COVID-19, Mother. This is in stark contrast to the record predicted by the government. It stated that it had a case on July 15, confirming that there were about 56,757 new cases. The Indonesian Ministry of Health later confirmed that there was a difference in the number of people who were positive for COVID-19 with the cases that had been identified, Mother. In fact, the actual number could be 4 times the reported figure. Director of Prevention and Control of Directly Infectious Diseases (P2PML) of the Ministry of Health, Dr. Siti Nadia Tarmizi, said it was estimated that there were around 16 million people in Indonesia who had actually tested positive for COVID-19, Mother. He also said that Indonesia’s seroprevalence showed a COVID-19 prevalence rate of around 14 percent. “So, if we look at the number of confirmed COVID-19 sufferers, if it is currently reported around 4 million, it might be around 15 or 16 million in fact,” he continued. IHME also predicts a surge in hospitalized COVID-19 cases in the next few months, Mother. CONTINUE READING CLICK HERE. (mua/som) .

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